The Impact of Electric Vehicles on Tires to 2028

This report provides a ranking of trends related to electric vehicles and its impact in tire market sectors for next 10 years.

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Product detail
Product type: Market report
Date of publication: 22 Oct 2018
Number of tables: 38
Number of figures: 11
  • The main trends are: regulations and government mandates, policies and incentives, advanced recharging infrastructure, improving vehicle mileage range/ battery cost, and changing vehicle cost models. 
  • This envisages fleets of electric and autonomous vehicles interconnected with manufacturers, consumers, suppliers, service providers and even with each other. 
  • The greater simplicity and reliability of electric propulsion is an important part of this scenario, which will ultimately have a much larger effect on the tire market, and is expected to start to kick in from 2025. 

Description

Our exclusive content:

  • Electric vehicles are seen as a key enabling component in the developing new mobility ecosystem
  • Future outlook on opportunities and threats the further uptake of EV brings to the tire value chain
  • 50 tables and figures displaying the effect of EV on the tire market for the next 10 years

What methodology is used?

The data and information for this report were gathered using a combination of secondary and primary research. Secondary research consisted of a review of published material, conference proceedings, and information from organizations and companies involved in the production, supply, and use of tires and their ingredients. Primary research consisted of interviews with specialists along the automotive and tire supply chains. These data points were analyzed to provide estimates and forecasts for the electric vehicles markets by end-use sector, type, and region presented in Smithers Rapra market report, The Impact of Electric Vehicles on Tires to 2028.

What will you discover?

  • Comprehensive scoring and ranking of a variety of electric vehicle-related trends based on their forecast impact on the tire industry
  • Forecast scenarios across different aspects of the tire industry value chain – from materials supply, through to retail and marketing – identifying specific impacts that the electric vehicles megatrend will have on each sector
  • In-depth analysis of likely consumer, technology, regulatory and regional trends that will emerge over the forecast period of electric vehicle development

Who should buy this report?

  • Electric vehicle component suppliers
  • Automotive manufacturers
  • Tire raw material suppliers
  • Tire manufactures
  • Regulatory and legislative bodies
  • Industry consultants and analysts

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Executive summary 

Introduction and methodology       

  • Report scope 
  • Report objective         
  • Methodology  
  • Definitions      
  • Abbreviations 

Electric vehicles (EV) drivers and trends

  • Macro trends  
    • Global environment and CO2 emission targets         
    • Existing technology and speed of change
    • Demographics
      • Population      
      • Income           
      • Urbanisation   
      • Age     
  • Passenger car / light goods vehicles market trends
    • EV passenger car / light goods vehicles market trends
      • Fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV)          
    • China EVs market trends       
    • Japan EVs market trends
    • US EVs market trends
    • South East Asia EVs market trends
    • Alternatives and competing to EVs
    • Autonomous vehicle developments complement or supersede those solely to EVs
  • Passenger car manufacturers and their EV ambitions
  • Electric truck & bus market trends     
  • Electric two- and three-wheelers market trends
  • Global tire market 2018-28
    • EV tires (passenger car / light goods vehicles + T&B)
      • EV tires passenger car / light goods vehicles volume market size in 2018-28
  • EV passenger car / light goods vehicle
  • OEM
  • Replacement
  • EV truck & bus
  • OEM
  • Replacement  
    • Geographical differences
    • Differentiating features
      • Passenger car / light goods vehicles
      • Truck & bus
    • Unique challenges
    • The EV tire situation in 2018
      • Offerings from leading manufacturers
    • The EV tire situation in 2028
  • Electric vehicle market drivers           
    • Energy supply availability      
    • Electric vehicle assortment    
    • Public outreach and awareness activities          
    • Integrating EVs into fleets     
    • Involvement of utilities           

Ranking of electric vehicles trends and their impact on EV tire markets to 2028 (PC/LGV + T&B)

  • Electric vehicles and impact on EV tire market sectors up to 2028     
    • Tire materials / components & tire manufacturing 
    • Tire distribution          
    • Tire retail        
    • Tire marketing
  • Reduction of emissions, air and noise pollution and impact on tire market sectors
  • Advanced recharging infrastructure and impact on EV tire market sectors
  • Improving vehicle mileage range and impact on EV tire market sectors
  • Changing vehicle cost models and impact on EV tire market sectors     
  • New regulations and government mandates and impact on tire market sectors

Regulations and government mandates and their impact on tire markets: 2028 scenario

  • Reduction of emissions         
    • Joint partnerships to reduce emissions        
  • Air quality and particle pollution         
  • Noise for silent vehicles         
    • Japanese government guidelines for Vehicle Audible System    
    • UNECE Regulation on Quiet Road Transport Vehicles     
    • NHSTA Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standard          
  • Overview EV regulations, mandates and policies
    • C40 Fossil-Fuel-Free Streets Declaration     
    • EU      
      • France
      • Germany        
      • Netherlands    
      • Nordics
        • Denmark
        • Norway           
        • Sweden          
      • UK      
    • China  
      • China environmental regulations
      • Other drivers for EVs uptake in China      
    • India   
    • Japan 
    • South Korea
    • Thailand         
    • US      
    • Canada

Advanced recharging infrastructure and impact on EV tire market sectors (PC/LGV + T&B)

  • Initiatives and targets for expansion recharging infrastructure  
  • Expand recharging infrastructure and related areas
    • Recharging time advancement and options
  • Truck & bus recharging

Improving vehicle mileage range/ battery cost and its impact on EV tire markets: 2028 scenario (PC/LGV + T&B)        

  • Improving vehicle mileage and EV battery    
    • Mobile power packs   
    • Battery re-using/ recycling     

Changing vehicle cost models and their impact on EV tire markets: 2028 scenario       

  • Vehicle cost models 2018 and 2028
  • Truck & bus vehicle cost model

Opportunities and future outlook  

  • Futuristic outlook to tire market 2028 and beyond
    • Tire market sectors
    • New requirements
    • Legislative developments/ liability/ regulation
    • Opportunities and threats through tire value chain
      • Tire materials suppliers
      • Tire component suppliers
      • Tire manufacturers
      • Tire integrators
      • Tire retailers

Appendix       

Smithers Rapra online survey questionnaire

Tables and Figures

List of Tables and Figures

TABLE 2.1: Total EV passenger car and light goods new registrations by EV type, forecast 2018-28 (million units)

TABLE 2.2: Total  EV passenger car and light goods vehicles new registrations forecast 2018-28 by main geographical markets (million units)  

TABLE 2.3: FCEVs vs BEVs comparison     

TABLE 2.4: Key reasons mentioned why autonomous vehicle developments will complement those impacts solely to EVs

TABLE 2.5: Key reasons mentioned why autonomous vehicle developments will supersede those impacts solely to EVs  

TABLE 2.6: List of OEM announcements on electric car ambitions 

TABLE 2.7: Challenges and drivers of electric bus growth  

TABLE 2.8: Total EV T&B new registrations forecast 2018-28 by EV type (million units)

TABLE 2.9: Total EV T&B New Registrations Forecast split by Main Geographical Markets 2018-28 (Million units)

TABLE 2.10: Total EV T&B New Registrations Forecast split by T&B 2018-28 (million units)           

TABLE 2.11: Truck & Bus segments and TCO (total cost of ownership) parity perspectives

TABLE 2.12: EVs and trend of eliminating spare wheels because of space and weight saving in next 10 years

TABLE 2.13: Main tire sectors (by weight of materials used) 2018

TABLE 2.14: Tire properties for electric vehicles in 2018 and 2028

TABLE 2.15 Total EV passenger car / light goods vehicles + T&B new tire sales 2018-28

TABLE 2.16: Total EV passenger car/ light goods vehicles replacement tire sales 2018-28

TABLE 2.17: Total EV passenger car/ light goods vehicles new Tire Sales by Main Geographical Markets 2018-28

TABLE 2.18: Total BEV passenger car/ light goods vehicles new Tire Sales 2018-28

TABLE 2.19: Total EV truck & Bus new tire sales by main geographical Markets 2018-28

TABLE 2.20: Total BEV truck & Bus new tire sales 2018-28

TABLE 3.1: Rated impact EVs on EV tire market sectors for next 10 years – single answer

TABLE 3.2: Rated impact of emissions, air and noise pollution on tire market sectors for next 10 years – single answer     

TABLE 3.3: Rated impact advanced recharging infrastructure on EV tire market sectors for next 10 years – single answer     

TABLE 3.4: Rated impact improving vehicle mileage range on EV tire market sectors for next 10 years – single answer     

TABLE 3.5: Rated impact changing vehicle cost models on EV tire market sectors for next 10 years – single answer     

TABLE 3.6: Rated impact new regulations and government mandates on tire market sectors for next 10 years – single answer

TABLE 4.1: Regulations and government mandates and impact on EV tires 2018

TABLE 4.2: Regulations and government mandates and impact on EV tires by 2028

TABLE 4.4: Selected countries’ targets for reducing CO2 emissions

TABLE 4.5: Emissions standards for passenger car/ light goods vehicles gasoline in South Korea

TABLE 4.6: US CAFE standards for passenger car / light goods vehicles + T&B

TABLE 5.1: EV recharging infrastructure deployment targets

TABLE 5.2: Advanced recharging infrastructure and impact on EV tire market sectors by 2018 and 2028

TABLE 5.3: Selected charging strategies for electric buses

TABLE 6.1: Improving vehicle range/EV battery characteristics and impact on EV tires by 2018 and by 2028

TABLE 7.1: Vehicle cost models trends and impact on EV tires by 2018

TABLE 7.2: Vehicle cost models and impact on EV tires by 2028

TABLE 8.1: Threats and opportunities throughout the tire value chain due to electrification

FIGURE 2.1: Sales of passenger cars in key markets 2000-50 (million units)

FIGURE 2.2: Passenger cars in use by country CAGR 2010-15

FIGURE 2.3:  EV cars (BEVs and PHEVs), new registrations, 2005-16 (‘000 units)     

FIGURE 2.4: Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), new registrations, 2010-16 (‘000 units)   

FIGURE 2.5: Battery electric vehicles (BEVs), new registrations, 2010-16

FIGURE 2.6: Evolution of the global electric car stock 2005-16 (‘000 units)  

FIGURE 2.7: EV passenger car / light goods vehicles + T&B new registrations forecast 2018-28 (million units)

FIGURE 2.8: 2017 FCEV car park % volume share by geographical markets

FIGURE 2.9: Volume OEM passenger car / light goods vehicles tires 2018-28

FIGURE 3.1: Geographical area where company of survey respondents are most active          

FIGURE 5.1: BEV and PHEV 2016 battery pack price in US $ per kWh survey results 2010-16